This Week in AFL Fantasy

Round 16 – Who stays and who goes.

Another high-scoring round, despite ever-popular captain Tom Michell failing to ton up.
At this time of year, I look to only have one solid player in each line on the bench, and downgrade the other to maximize your best team on the field.

Please note that this week there is another Thursday night game, so there is a partial lockout in place.

Break-Evens

Trade In

Always go for the rookies with the best job security first. And coming into the pointy end of the season there are fewer decent options coming through.

Player Price Position Games Average Break Even
J. Battle $284,000 FOR 3 73.00 -13
B. Lynch $229,000 DEF 2 67.50 -11
B. Sier $235,000 MID 2 66.50 -3
J. Jones $251,000 FOR 4 52.00 -1
J. Dawson $196,000 MID 2 47.50 2
Q. Narkle $232,000 MID 2 62.00 4
P. Kerr $235,000 FOR 4 45.50 9
B. Ainsworth $289,000 MID 3 64.30 9
K. Mutch $265,000 MID 3 60.00 11
C. Moore $287,000 FOR 4 58.00 12
P. Wilson $185,000 MID, FOR 1 51.00 12
R. Garthwaite $182,000 DEF 1 47.00 13
P. Ahern $350,000 MID, FOR 5 70.60 14
D. Clarke $181,000 MID, FOR 1 46.00 14
M. O’Connor $209,000 DEF, MID 1 56.00 14
D. Mirra $351,000 DEF 5 67.80 15
L. Keeffe $253,000 DEF, FOR 3 55.30 16
E. Hipwood $395,000 FOR 15 56.70 17
J. Long $250,000 MID 1 66.00 18

Trade Out

After the byes you should be looking at job security more than break-evens – as you just need adequate bench cover.

Player Price Position Games Average Break Even
M. Poholke $315,000 MID, FOR 9 48.00 48
C. Polson $180,000 MID, FOR 5 27.20 28
O. McInerney $327,000 RUC 10 53.10 54
S. Weideman $274,000 FOR 5 45.40 47
B. Ronke $423,000 FOR 10 70.30 72
J. Henry $362,000 FOR 14 53.00 55
C. Rayner $431,000 MID, FOR 15 57.50 60
F. Appleby $298,000 DEF 9 48.10 51
S. Bolton $230,000 FOR 2 32.50 36
E. Richards $413,000 DEF 14 60.10 64
M. Lewis $173,000 FOR 2 25.50 30
M. Eagles $180,000 DEF 4 27.50 33
S. Rowe $281,000 DEF 11 39.50 45
Z. Bailey $329,000 MID 10 49.90 56
A. Phillips $353,000 RUC 5 57.60 64
J. Finlayson $337,000 DEF, MID 12 59.40 66
R. Smith $272,000 DEF 6 42.30 49
C. Zurhaar $266,000 FOR 5 42.20 49
B. Gowers $428,000 FOR 15 59.10 66
A. Johnson $288,000 FOR 3 43.00 50
T. Marshall $295,000 FOR 7 46.60 54
L. Fogarty $380,000 MID, FOR 12 61.30 69
J. Petruccelle $183,000 MID, FOR 2 24.00 32
W. Rioli $333,000 FOR 14 51.60 60
B. Rice $337,000 DEF 6 57.20 66
M. Guelfi $417,000 FOR 10 67.70 78
D. Fogarty $266,000 MID, FOR 10 42.00 54
J. Waterman $346,000 FOR 14 55.60 68
T. English $425,000 FOR, RUC 7 67.60 80
O. Florent $459,000 FOR 15 62.50 76
J. Brander $243,000 DEF, FOR 1 30.00 44
J. Cunico $463,000 MID 11 71.80 87
N. Shipley $170,000 MID 2 21.50 37
T. Cole $327,000 DEF 11 54.10 70
Z. Guthrie $283,000 DEF 7 45.90 62
C. Ballard $268,000 MID, FOR 9 40.80 57
A. Naughton $302,000 DEF 11 48.30 65
H. Clark $400,000 MID 12 56.30 73
L. Davies-Uniacke $259,000 MID 5 36.20 54
N. Holman $441,000 MID 15 66.30 85
P. Dow $402,000 MID 14 55.60 76
B. Banfield $430,000 MID 15 63.40 86
B. Fritsch $569,000 FOR 14 79.90 105
L. Ryan $345,000 FOR 6 55.50 81
N. Brown $170,000 DEF 12 26.40 53
M. Crowden $270,000 MID, FOR 8 44.00 72
D. Joyce $170,000 DEF 2 19.00 47
E. Ratugolea $318,000 FOR 8 49.30 78
N. Wright $238,000 FOR 2 24.50 55
B. Ainsworth $449,000 FOR 14 60.90 101
D. Moore $369,000 FOR 4 41.80 108

Noticeable Outs from Injury

Please see the following article to give you the full snap-shot of Injuries

Stay or Trade?

Michael Apeness (40) – Gave away 4 frees. But still has some growth. Keep

Brendon Ah Chee (42) – He’s done his dash, and is unlikely to reach his break-even of 72. Trade

Hunter Clark (38) – Won’t reach his break-even, and doesn’t average well enough to keep. Trade

Tom Cole (34) – Gave away 3 frees and only 8 touches. Won’t reach his break-even of 70, so trade. Trade

Brayden Crossley (33) – Gave away 4 frees, playing forward on Tarrant. Only has a break-even of 40, so I’d keep him for another round. Keep

Ed Curnow (61) – Played a lock-down role on Zorko and Beams. Doesn’t look to be returning to his best form. I would upgrade him if you can. Trade

Charlie Curnow (46) – Inconsistent at the best of times, but has had some recent good form, so I’d persist with him. Keep

Lance Franklin (65) – Blicav’s kept him honest and he still kicked 4. Can bounce back to form. Keep

Billy Gowers (31) – Despite his excellent last two games he only managed 7 touches against the Hawks. Time to move him on before he starts losing money. Trade

Nick Holman (45) – Didn’t get a possession in the first quarter. He’s probably bench cover if you have him, but won’t reach his break-even. Consider trading. Trade

Will Hoskin-Elliott (18) – Got a knock to the knee. Check the injury report. Injured

Kieren Jack (22) – Left knee medial ligament. Won’t be back, so trade. Trade

Tom Jonas (51) – Left knee twisted in a tackle. Check the injury news. Injured

Patrick Lipinski (31) – Will start losing money, so time to trade him. Trade

Steven May (51) – Landed heavily on his right hip. Check the injury news. Injured

Jeremy McGovern (42) – Has a poor average in recent times. Trade. Trade

Brody Mihocek (33) – Still has another week before he starts losing money. Keep

Marc Murphy (69) – Carlton were soundly beaten. I think he can bounce back. Keep

Lachie Neale (59) – His 18 touches including 13 handballs. Hopefully he can reverse this in future games. Keep

Andrew Phillips (15) – Went off with a right hamstring strain. Check the injury news. Injured

Mitch Robinson (65) – Played mainly mid-field, so give him another week to see if he can get his confidence back. Keep

Luke Ryan (51) – Following his 35 last week? Ouch. One more week to return to form. Keep

Heath Shaw (60) – Shaw is Mr Inconsistent. Second poor week in a row. Next week against Richmond won’t be easier before a couple of easier games. Luxury trade – I’d probably keep him. Keep

Jack Steven (63) – None of the Saints scored well. Hopefully can turn things around. Keep

David Swallow (54) – Tagged by Jacobs. Essendon won’t tag him next week. Keep

Matthew Wright (24) – Not fantasy relevant. I’d trade him for that reason alone. Trade

Gary Ablett jnr (54) – Gave away a few frees. But the master could bounce back. Keep