This Week in AFL Fantasy

Round 3 – Who stays and who goes.

During the first few rounds of the season it is about getting the rookie right and fixing up glaring errors. It’s the time to create a solid base not chase points. You should back premium players you put research into during the pre-season – as they usually come good. Cream rises to the top.

Meanwhile, money growth for rookies is always best at the start – each week without the best rookies is money lost (and so the longer it will take you to complete your team).

Break-Evens

Always go for the rookies with the lowest break evens:

Player Position Break Even
Jake Waterman FWD -19
Sam Murray DEF -14
Esava Ratugolea FWD -13
Nick Holman MID -7
Tim Kelly MID -6
Tom Doedee DEF -4
Jeremy Finlayson DEF, MID -4
Lachlan Murphy DEF -4
Tim English FWD, RUC -3

Tim Coffield (DEF) from St Kilda is another rookie who should be strongly considered.

Suspensions

Here’s the list of players that couldn’t keep their hands to themselves this week:

Player Club Weeks Suspended
Zaine Cordy Western Bulldogs 1 Week
Conor McKenna Essendon 3 Weeks

If you hold McKenna, I would recommend trading him.

This Weeks Noticeable Outs from Injury

If you own any of these players, then trade them:

Player Club Expected Weeks Out Prognosis
Gary Ablett Jnr Geelong 3 Weeks Hamstring Injury
Nakia Cockatoo Geelong TBC PCL
Cam Guthrie Geelong TBC Ankle
Pearce Hanley Gold Coast TBC Re-Injured his shoulder
Calab Marchbank Carlton 4 Weeks Ankle
Lewis Melican Sydney 3 Weeks Quad
Sam Reid Sydney 8 Weeks Quad Tear
Liam Ryan West Coast 3 Weeks Ankle

Stay or Trade?

Jack Billings (58) – Poor second half. I expect him to improve. Keep

Andrew Brayshaw (43) – Threatens to do better. Should hit his Break-Even so keep for another week. Keep

Ryan Burton (39) – He’s in a race to the bottom. Upgrade to a rookie. Trade

Todd Goldstein (60) – Played well the week before but beaten this week. No reason to trade. Keep

Aaron Hall (14) – Tagged out of the game – completely. Historically unusually poor, so I think he should bounce back. Keep

Michael Hibberd (68) – Trade him to Coffield (if you don’t have him). Trade

Jason Johannisen (67) – The Doggies easily disposed of the Don’s. So the ‘JJ’ experiment has failed. Trade

Tom J. Lynch (53) – Coming off 139 the week before, but beaten this week. Keep

Dustin Martin (67) – Unusually poor game. He should bounce back. Keep

Zach Merrett (60) – I’m still not a fan of trading players who can just turn the corner and dominate. Keep

Devon Smith (72) – Wasn’t the only Don to have his colours lowered. There’s no reason he can’t turn it around. Keep

Tim Taranto (52) – Was moved forward with Hoppers return. As a stepping stone player I don’t see him increasing further. Time to upgrade. Trade

Lachie Whitfield (65) – Don’t worry – he only scored this badly because I traded him into my team. Will still be a top 6 defender. Keep

Chad Wingard (73) – Needs to find form – but can go big. Keep

Jarrod Witts (64) – You have to take the bad scores with the good. Keep

Aaron Young (51) – Looking at his Break-Even (69), now is the time to trade. Trade

Elliot Yeo (46) – Prone to a few poor games (on coaches orders). Keep

Dayne Zorko (72) – You don’t own Zorko unless you’re aware of his inconsistency. But has a huge ceiling. Keep