When trading players, it’s helpful to keep an eye on their upcoming draw. Please note that the methodology for this is the same as my Difficulty of the Draw article during the pre-season. This means I’m also taking into account whether a team is playing at home or not.

The only change made is instead of reporting the total points scored, I’m reporting the average. The reason is because after 7 rounds there’s an uneven number of games played between home & away which skews the results if I’m summing points conceded.

Points Conceded – Hardest to Easiest

Based on the first 8 rounds, I’ve averaged up the AFL Fantasy scores conceded for each team (both home and away).

TeamPoints Conceded (Home)Points Conceded (Away)
Greater Western Sydney63.6567.74
Brisbane65.4768.02
Geelong67.2770.03
Port Adelaide67.3371.18
Western Bulldogs67.3671.47
West Coast67.6676.83
Collingwood69.0564.38
Fremantle69.7175.82
St Kilda71.7474.22
Essendon71.8971.20
Adelaide72.6671.15
Gold Coast73.2777.16
North Melbourne73.6871.27
Melbourne74.4975.83
Hawthorn74.5972.41
Sydney74.8267.59
Carlton75.3574.97
Richmond82.1277.59

Red = Hard Green = Easy

The Draw

Team 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Rank
Adelaide PA BRI WC MEL GWS RIC GEE PA 13
Brisbane WB ADE FRE HAW CAR STK MEL GWS 14
Carlton COL GWS STK ESS BRI WB FRE MEL 17
Collingwood CAR STK SYD FRE MEL WB NM HAW 1
Essendon SYD FRE RIC CAR HAW WC GWS SYD 5
Fremantle RIC ESS BRI COL PA MEL CAR WC 4
Gold Coast MEL PA GEE GWS NM STK SYD RIC 9
Geelong NM WB GC SYD RIC PA ADE WB 12
Greater Western Sydney HAW CAR MEL GC ADE NM ESS BRI 2
Hawthorn GWS RIC PA BRI ESS SYD WC COL 11
Melbourne GC WC GWS ADE COL FRE BRI CAR 16
North Melbourne GEE SYD WB RIC GC GWS COL STK 15
Port Adelaide ADE GC HAW STK FRE GEE WB ADE 7
Richmond FRE HAW ESS NM GEE ADE STK GC 10
St Kilda WC COL CAR PA GC BRI RIC NM 3
Sydney ESS NM COL GEE WC HAW GC ESS 8
Western Bulldogs BRI GEE NM WC CAR COL PA GEE 18
West Coast STK MEL ADE WB SYD ESS HAW FRE 6

Red = Hard Green = Easy

Conclusion

When trading in players (and depending on your bye structure) it might be worthwhile giving preference to players from teams such as Collingwood, Greater Western Sydney and St Kilda. And avoid teams like the Western Bulldogs and Carlton.